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home | Stocks and Bonds
 

Stocks and Bonds

Gary North

This section is for people who are still undecided between stocks and bonds, foreign and domestic.

The American stock market peaked in March of 2000. If we use to S&P 500 index, the peak was 1527. That was on March 24, 2000.

Since that time, price inflation has increased by over 20%. The index should be above 1850. But that does not count capital gains taxes. To sell for what you paid, the index should be at 2200.

Then there is the beloved story of the American stock market's supposed gain of 7% per year. That much-heralded fairy tale got blasted by the twenty-first century.

I received the following e-letter piece of information in a widely read free e-letter:

But our main focus will always be about stock market investing. Why? Because nothing has performed better than equities over the long haul. Not cash, not bonds, not real estate, not gold, not collectibles, nothing.

Anyone who believed this in 2000 and left his money in a no-load U.S. stock index fund -- the smart investors' strategy -- has lost money. He should have had his money in gold and silver, real estate, and bonds.

This old line about the profitability of American stocks has been dead wrong for almost eight years. Yet the perma-bulls keep promoting this story as if nothing had happened to refute the theory since March of 2000. They simply will not learn from experience. They will never change their story.

I suggest that you read this article: How to Short the Various U.S. Stock Markets It's available to members of this site.

http://www.garynorth.com/members/2218.cfm

Foreign stocks have done well. Will this continue?

Then there are bonds, which usually move up when stocks move down. What about corporate bonds? What about government bonds? Which maturities? Which governments?

What effect will Federal Reserve policy have on American stocks and bonds?

These and other topics are covered here.

Stock Buybacks: How Corporate Executives Reward Themselves at the Expense of Investors
Gary North - August 29, 2014
By now, this is well known. But it does not stop. Why should it? Investors are content. They are really, truly dumb. . . . keep reading
Mortgages and Bonds in a Recession
Gary North - August 15, 2014
If a recession hits, will interest rates go down? A subscriber wants to know. . . . keep reading
Stocks: Are the Rich Sucking the Last Money Out of the Middle Class?
Gary North - July 25, 2014
Will the wealth of the middle class be transferred to the rich in the next stock market decline? . . . keep reading
Bait and Switch on Drudge's Site: A Disguised Ad on the Coming Crash
Gary North - July 24, 2014
An ad is not a article. Let the reader beware. . . . keep reading
Debt: Who Owes What?
Gary North - July 17, 2014
You and I are not the problem. . . . keep reading
A "Don't Invest" Signal for Stocks
Gary North - May 08, 2014
This is a simple screening tool. It is not widely recognized. . . . keep reading
CNBC, Rainbows, and Pots of Gold
Gary North - May 08, 2014
When you think "CNBC," think "leprechaun." . . . keep reading
Warren Buffett's Advice on What to Do With Your Money. It Will Help Him With His Money.
Gary North - April 30, 2014
It's widely quoted. . . . keep reading
Will the Government Modify the Dow Jones Industrial Average?
Gary North - April 07, 2014
There is an article on the Web that says it will try. Maybe. . . . keep reading
Leverage and Its Pitfalls
Gary North - April 04, 2014
What looks good in the boom looks disatrous in the bust. . . . keep reading
Will Amazon and Walmart Raise Prices?
Gary North - March 13, 2014
They can do this at any time. So far, they haven't. But will they? . . . keep reading
Richard Russell's Orange Alert
Gary North - February 07, 2014
I pay attention to Russell. . . . keep reading
Amazon: America's Snow White Company
Gary North - February 01, 2014
"Someday, my profits will come." . . . keep reading
From Greenspan's "Put" to Bernanke's Bubble
Gary North - January 03, 2014
It was bad under Greenspan. It is worse under Bernanke. Yellen is now trapped. . . . keep reading
The Stock Market and the Deficit Standoff
Gary North - October 09, 2013
hello will the stock market have to go to force the compromise? . . . keep reading
Tinker Bell Economics: Low Bond Rates for 20 Years
Gary North - October 05, 2013
Bill Gross of Pimco offers Tinker Bell economics, which is what a bond fund manager needs. . . . keep reading
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