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home | State of the Economy
 

How Good or Bad Is the Economy? What Are the Experts Saying? Do They Know What They Are Talking About?
Gary North

The state of the economy, worldwide, is of great concern. The signs of recession are spreading. How long until it hits? How long will it last?

These questions relate to jobs, business profits, and the stock market. People's career prospects are on the line.

The experts disagree, as always. This much is clear: there were no warnings from any well-known economist in late 2007 that the American economy was threatened by a recession. Ben Bernanke denied it repeatedly. Yet it is obvious that something is seriously wrong with the financial sector of the economy. Real estate is in the worst recession since 1940.

I sounded the warning on the end of the real estate boom and the threat to the banks in November, 2005. What I thought would happen is now happening.

Here, you can stay informed regarding economic indicators and the state of the economy.

Chart: Chance of a U.S. Recession in 2008
Gary North
This is good news. . . . keep reading
Is the U.S. Headed into a Recession or Not? This Word from on High Carries Weight.
Gary North
Experts disagree. Virtually all economists last November said no. That's why this is news. . . . keep reading
A New Category of "Junk Loans" Now Threatens the Biggest Banks
Gary North
More bad news for big banks. . . . keep reading
No Sign of Recovery in Manufacturing
Gary North
Bad news continues: ISM report for April. . . . keep reading
Treasury Secretary Paulson's Remarks Fail to Impress Stock Market Investors.
Gary North
Sometimes, it's better to say nothing. . . . keep reading
The Federal Reserve Acted; the Stock Market Fell. What Ever Happened to Optimism?
Gary North
The FED fired its pea-shooter. The stock market fell. . . . keep reading
Bank Secrecy Goes into Near-Panic Mode.
Gary North
England goes into blackout mode. Who got the $100 billion in cewntral bank loans? . . . keep reading
Is the Slowdown/Recession Over? Not According to This Crucial Indicator.
Gary North
Unless this reverses, we are headed deeper into a falling economy. This one doesn't lie. . . . keep reading
Climbing Off China's Paper Money Tiger
Gary North
This is not going to be easy. . . . keep reading
America Is Japan in 1990, but Without Thrift and Far More Consumer Debt.
Gary North
So, you think real estate has bottomed. That took 16 years for Japan, 1990-2006. . . . keep reading
Alt-A Mortgage Loans: The Other Shoe Will Soon Drop. Godzilla's.
Gary North
This is so scary that even John "Muddle Through" Mauldin may need a dose of Vesicare. . . . keep reading
What Really Is Behind the Subprime Crisis? Will It escalate?
Gary North
The mainstream financial media say the worst is behind us. But they don't tell us how it happened. If you get the diagnosis wrong, you will get the prognosis wrong. . . . keep reading
The Federal Deficit and Its Impact in This Recession
Gary North
This is receiving very little attention. You had better factor it into your plans. . . . keep reading
The Leverage Factor: The Achilles' Heel of the World Economy
Gary North
This is the domino effect of hedged loans. What happens if the insurers go bust? . . . keep reading
We Are Entering into Phase Two of "It's Not Quite Behind Us, But Soon. Be Patient. Don't Sell Your Stocks." Ho, Ho, Ho.
Gary North
A huge Swiss bank offers an update. The news is bad. . . . keep reading
Slow Learners: Why CEOs Are Behind the Curve, and Way Behind Consumers
Gary North
It's a matter of risk -- the CEOs' and yours. These are not the same. . . . keep reading
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