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home | State of the Economy
 

How Good or Bad Is the Economy? What Are the Experts Saying? Do They Know What They Are Talking About?
Gary North

The state of the economy, worldwide, is of great concern. The signs of recession are spreading. How long until it hits? How long will it last?

These questions relate to jobs, business profits, and the stock market. People's career prospects are on the line.

The experts disagree, as always. This much is clear: there were no warnings from any well-known economist in late 2007 that the American economy was threatened by a recession. Ben Bernanke denied it repeatedly. Yet it is obvious that something is seriously wrong with the financial sector of the economy. Real estate is in the worst recession since 1940.

I sounded the warning on the end of the real estate boom and the threat to the banks in November, 2005. What I thought would happen is now happening.

Here, you can stay informed regarding economic indicators and the state of the economy.

Is Laying Off a City the Size of New Orleans Every Month a Positive for the Economy?
Gary North
The magnitude of the job losses need a comparison to understand them. I suggest New Orleans. . . . keep reading
Regional Banks Continue Their Downward Spiral. Investors Don't Care. Yet.
Gary North
The extent of the decline over the last month is startling. . . . keep reading
Green Shoots Turn Brown in Summer
Gary North
The bad news keeps rolling in. There was supposed to be a let-up. . . . keep reading
The #1 Indicator That Always Leads Economic Recovery
Gary North
Until this turns up, forget about green shoots. They are what Bernanke is smoking, not what he is seeing. . . . keep reading
What Not to Do If You Get Fired, and What to Do Immediately
Gary North
Your first instinct is wrong. Here is a better way. . . . keep reading
Businessmen Remain Pessimistic; So Do Insiders.
Gary North
The News from the business front remains bad. . . . keep reading
What If It Takes 15 Years to Get Back to 2007?
Gary North
The public has no concept of how long it will take to recover . . . if nothing bad happens, such as the bust of Medicare. . . . keep reading
Capacity Utilization: Color Me Baffled
Gary North
This 40-year chart makes no sense, yet it is crucial. I think. Maybe. And if it isn't, what is going on? . . . keep reading
The Best Single Analysis I Have Seen on the Collapse of Anglo-American Banking, and Why It's Nowhere Near Over
Gary North
If you want to understand why the banks nearly went down, read this -- published in a most improbable place (outside the United States) . . . keep reading
Why the Job Market News Is About to Take Another Big Hit
Gary North
The optimism regarding May will not survive the report on June. . . . keep reading
The Unemployment Overshoot and Its Effect on the Foreclosure Rate
Gary North
If the recession ended tomorrow, what would happen to the housing market? . . . keep reading
Rising Oil Prices: Good for the Economy or Bad?
Gary North
The analysts cannot make up their minds. . . . keep reading
Unemployment: Worse Than the Most Recent Figures Estimate -- the Unmentioned Factor
Gary North
Look at this ratio to see just how bad it is. . . . keep reading
Spinning Ford's Disaster
Gary North
The mainstream media are shameless. It's great that they are dying. . . . keep reading
Lunacy in Financial Reporting: It Just Gets Worse
Gary North
Lemmings can't think straight. Are you a lemming? See if you can spot the errors in just one major media financial piece. . . . keep reading
Sharp Decline in the Commercial Real Estate Bond Market
Gary North
The problem is not just defaults. It's who will get stiffed. . . . keep reading
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