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home | State of the Economy
 

How Good or Bad Is the Economy? What Are the Experts Saying? Do They Know What They Are Talking About?
Gary North

The state of the economy, worldwide, is of great concern. The signs of recession are spreading. How long until it hits? How long will it last?

These questions relate to jobs, business profits, and the stock market. People's career prospects are on the line.

The experts disagree, as always. This much is clear: there were no warnings from any well-known economist in late 2007 that the American economy was threatened by a recession. Ben Bernanke denied it repeatedly. Yet it is obvious that something is seriously wrong with the financial sector of the economy. Real estate is in the worst recession since 1940.

I sounded the warning on the end of the real estate boom and the threat to the banks in November, 2005. What I thought would happen is now happening.

Here, you can stay informed regarding economic indicators and the state of the economy.

The TARP Lady from Harvard Law School Identifies the Next Crisis: Thousands of Regional Banks
Gary North
Regional banks make small business loans. They will not be able to do this for the next three years. . . . keep reading
Kansas City, MO Hits the Brick Wall. This Is the Wave of the Future in America's Cities.
Gary North
The city is closing half of its public schools. It is busted. . . . keep reading
Small Businesses, Which Hire Most Workers, Are Barely Hiring. Fear is Pervasive.
Gary North
Until the recovery persuades small businesses to start hiring and banks to lend to them, it's a false recovery. . . . keep reading
If the Economy Is Improving, Why Are Consumers Losing Hope?
Gary North
The reversal in consumer confidence indicates that the weak recovery is even weaker than admitted. . . . keep reading
The #1 Bear in the Mainstream Financial Press Issues a Warning.
Gary North
The mainstream media will ignore this warning. The warning takes world debt seriously. . . . keep reading
Barton Biggs: Survivalist Bull
Gary North
Bullish on America, Biggs says to prepare to head for the hills. . . . keep reading
Male Jobs: Down. Male Wages: Down. This Is Our Recent Past. It Is Our Long-Term Future.
Gary North
This chart deserves your attention. . . . keep reading
The Consumer Has Yet to Panic. Is He Naive or Sensible?
Gary North
When in doubt, look at debt servicing. . . . keep reading
Statistical Recoveries and Real Recoveries
Gary North
What's up, doc? When you look at GDP figures, check the components. They may surprise you. . . . keep reading
Jim Rogers is a Genius (When He Agrees With Me)
Gary North
What are the "investment biker's" views on the economy? Do I agree? . . . keep reading
How the Government Conceals the Real Unemployment Rate
Gary North
The government ignores the easiest source of information on jobs -- which continues downward. The media are taken in, of course. . . . keep reading
Debt Re-structuring in Japan: Prelude for Debt Re-structuring in the USA?
Gary North
Bernanke is taking the Japanese superhighway. But there is a crucial difference. . . . keep reading
How Underwater Debtors Use the Legal System to Avoid Paying Off, and Get Bill Collectors to Pay Them
Gary North
This man is $100,000 in the hole and so far has collected $20,000 from bill-collection agencies. . . . keep reading
Has the Economic Recovery Been Railroaded?
Gary North
Sometimes you need to see a graph or chart to see what is happening. I have one. The I'll explain it. . . . keep reading
The Looming Fiscal Crisis Can Be Shrugged Off, but Not Avoided.
Gary North
You have to see it to believe it -- really believe it. Now you can see it, even if your colleagues don't. . . . keep reading
Forecast from a Keynesian Economist: The U.S. Will Not Recover for at Least Five Years, Maybe Ten
Gary North
This testimony to a government commission is an unblinking admission of how badly the economy fell, and why it will not recover anytime soon. . . . keep reading
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