Federal Reserve Policy continued

You had better take this speech seriously. The Federal Reserve will have to step in and buy T-bills if the Chinese central bank bows out. The FED had better not ignore this speech. Neither should you.... keep reading

There have been only three departures of FED Chairman in the past 27 years. Each of these was followed by a crisis. Will it happen again? One prominent analyst thinks so. Here, I examine his arguments.... keep reading

In the second half of his article, the author points to a worldwide recession coming as a result of America's housing collapse and rising interest rates. The problem is, what he says of America could also be said of China.... keep reading

When a newspaper published under the authority of the Chinese Communist Party runs an article like this one, we can assume that this outlook for the world economy is considered plausible in Asia.... keep reading

Is the FED's concern about the housing bubble reflected by its current monetary policy, and if it is, then what does this say about immediate future of stocks and bonds?... keep reading

There was a pre-Greenspan rule of the stock market that enabled savvy investors to avoid major market reversals and crashes. The experts no longer honor that rule. But the stock market will, and maybe has already begun.... keep reading

Greenspan's September 27 speech was widely hailed as positive. I see it very differently. He raised the yellow warning flag. He expects to be out of office before the red flag goes up.... keep reading

Alan Greenspan's September 26 speech to the American Bankers Association raised the yellow flag. The home equity game is about to change. There will be winners and losers. You don't want to be a loser.... keep reading

What you read here, I wrote in December, 2002. Review it. FED policies "turn on a dime," but the dime will eventually be worth a nickel. Today's FED policy will produce a recession. Then the FED will reverse itself again. Conclusion: pay attention to FED policy.... keep reading